首都地质资源环境承载能力监测预警信息平台建设思路     

韩征  郭萌  秦俊生  李潇  李佳  刘钊  李敏 《城市地质》2017,12(2)

为适应大数据的新背景和首都未来发展形势的新需求,同时避免"信息孤岛"、"重复建设"等现象的发生。本次以首都地质资源环境承载能力监测预警平台为例,提出以多维地理信息系统、智慧地图、互联网大数据分析等信息化技术为基础的平台建设思路,阐述了平台的总体架构及云计算技术,多源异构空间数据集成技术,大数据存储处理技术等关键技术问题,同时对平台将实现的功能应用和服务对象进行了分析和说明。  相似文献   

Temporal changes in wetland plant communities with decades of cumulative water pollution in two plateau lakes in China’s Yunnan Province     

Si-hai Wang  Chao Wu  De-rong Xiao  Juan Wang  Xi-ping Cheng  Fang-bin Guo 《山地科学学报》2017,14(7):1350-1357

Wetland plant communities in the plateau lakes of Yunnan Province, China, have decreased significantly over the past decades. To better understand this degradation, we analyzed the processes and characteristics of changes in wetland plant communities in two of the largest lakes in Yunnan Province, Dianchi and Erhai lakes. We collected records of native and alien plant communities in the two lakes from literature published from the 1950s to current period. We calculated plant community types and their area in some historical periods when related data were reported, and analyzed the relationship between changes in plant communities and water pollution. In Dianchi Lake, 12 community types of native plant communities, covering over 80% of the surface in the 1950s and 1960s, were reduced to four types covering 2.4% by the late 2000s. Alien plant communities started to appear in the lake in the late 1970s, and have since come to cover 4.9% of the lake surface, thereby becoming dominant. In Erhai Lake, 16 community types of native plant communities, covering 47.1% of the lake surface in the late 1970s, declined to 10 community types, covering 9.3% of the surface, by the late 2000s. Alien plant communities appeared in the middle 1980s, and at present cover 0.7% of the surface area. It was indicated that changes in plant communities were significant related to water eutrophication. The area occupied by native and alien plant communities was, respectively, negatively and positively related to the content of nutrients in water. This showed lacustrine pollution played an important role in native plant loss and alien plant invasion in the two plateau lakes.  相似文献   

Decadal glacial lake changes in the Koshi basin,central Himalaya,from 1977 to 2010, derived from Landsat satellite images     

Finu Shrestha  Xiao Gao  Narendra Raj Khanal  Sudan Bikash Maharjan  Rajendra Bahadur Shrestha  Li-zong Wu  Pradeep Kumar Mool  Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya 《山地科学学报》2017,14(10):1969-1984

Changes in glacial lakes and the consequences of these changes, particularly on the development of water resources and management of glacial lake outburst flood(GLOF) risk, has become one of the challenges in the sustainable development of high mountain areas in the context of global warming. This paper presents the findings of a study on the distribution of, and area changes in, glacial lakes in the Koshi basin in the central Himalayas.Data on the number of glacial lakes and their area was generated for the years 1977, 1990, 2000, and 2010 using Landsat satellite images. According to the glacial lake inventory in 2010, there were a total of 2168 glacial lakes with a total area of 127.61 km~2 and average size of 0.06 km~2 in the Koshi basin. Of these,47% were moraine dammed lakes, 34.8% bedrock dammed lakes and 17.7% ice dammed lakes. The number of glacial lakes increased consistently over the study period from 1160 in 1977 to 2168 in 2010, an overall growth rate of 86.9%. The area of glacial lakes also increased from 94.44 km~2 in 1977 to 127.61 km~2 in 2010, a growth rate of 35.1%. A large number of glacial lakes in the inventory are small in size(≤ 0.1km~2). End moraine dammed lakes with area greater than 0.1 km~2 were selected to analyze the change characteristics of glacial lakes in the basin. The results show that, in 2010, there were 129 lakes greater than 0.1 km~2 in area; these lakes had a total area of 42.92km~2 in 1997, increasing to 63.28 km~2 in 2010. The distribution of lakes on the north side of the Himalayas(in China) was three times higher than on the south side of the Himalayas(in Nepal).Comparing the mean growth rate in area for the 33 year study period(1977-2010), the growth rate on the north side was found to be a little slower than that on the south side. A total of 42 glacial lakes with an area greater than 0.2 km~2 are rapidly growing between 1977 and 2010 in the Koshi basin, which need to be paid more attention to monitoring in the future and to identify how critical they are in terms of GLOF.  相似文献   

基于贝叶斯机器学习的生态模型参数优化方法研究     

何立杰  何洪林  任小丽  葛蓉  杨涛  朱超 《地球信息科学学报》2017,19(10):1270-1278

参数优化方法是准确估计生态模型参数、降低其不确定性的有效手段。本文提出一种基于贝叶斯机器学习的No-U-Turn Sampler（NUTS）生态模型参数优化方法。NUTS是一种高效的参数优化方法,每次取样中利用递归算法生成候选参数集（二叉树）推断参数的后验信息,如果满足约束条件“非U型回转”,不断构建子树更新参数;否则,记录本次抽样的“最优”参数集,并开始下一次取样,直到获取足够样本。该算法在每次取样中充分优化参数,避免因随机游走行为产生冗余抽样,提高了参数优化效率。本文以千烟洲亚热带人工针叶林碳通量模拟为例,基于Pymc3框架利用NUTS参数优化方法实现了碳通量（Net Ecosystem Exchange,NEE）模型参数反演,并与Metropolis-Hastings（MH）方法进行对比。结果表明,本文算法的参数值达到稳定波动时的抽样次数减少了85%左右,参数优化效率提升3倍左右。参数优化后,2种NEE模型中7个参数不确定性降低10%~53%。此外,NEE模拟效果明显提升,模拟值与实测值的R²分别提高23%和17%,RMSE分别降低3%和4%。综上所述,本文提出的参数优化方法对生态领域的参数估计或数据同化工作具有一定的借鉴意义。  相似文献   

Capacities and failure modes of suction bucket foundation with internal bulkheads     

Zhong Xiao  Borui Ge  Yan Wang 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2017,16(4):627-634

Suction bucket foundations can be divided into four compartments by cruciform internal bulkheads, thereby yielding better capacity in certain conditions than those without internal bulkheads. As yet, no systematic study has been conducted regarding the effects of cruciform internal bulkheads on the capacities of suction bucket foundations. In this study, we established a large number of finite element models of suction bucket foundations with and without cruciform internal bulkheads and of solid embedded circular foundations. We found the uniaxial capacities and failure modes of suction bucket foundations with various depth ratios to remain basically unaffected by internal bulkheads in uniform clays. However, in inhomogeneous clay with high strength heterogeneity, we observed the uniaxial moment and horizontal capacities and corresponding failure modes of suction bucket foundations with a low depth ratio to be obviously affected by internal bulkheads. In this case, the uniaxial moment capacities, in particular, as well as the horizontal capacities of suction bucket foundations with cruciform internal bulkheads become obviously greater than those without internal bulkheads. Under combined loading, we found the failure envelopes of suction bucket foundations with and without cruciform internal bulkheads and of solid circular foundation to also be basically consistent in uniform clays. However, in inhomogeneous clay with high strength heterogeneity, cruciform internal bulkheads can obviously change the shapes of the failure envelopes of bucket foundations with a small depth ratio. We conclude that when the acting vertical load or foundation depth is relatively small, suction bucket foundations with cruciform internal bulkheads can be subjected to larger moment and horizontal loads in soft clays with high strength heterogeneity.  相似文献   

地震监测人工源极低频电磁技术(CSELF)新试验   总被引：11，自引：3，他引：8       下载免费PDF全文

赵国泽  王立凤  汤吉  陈小斌  詹艳  肖骑彬  王继军  蔡军涛  徐光晶  万战生  汪晓  杨静  董泽义  范晔  张继红  高妍 《地球物理学报》2010,53(3):479-486

2009年利用大功率人工源极低频电磁技术(CSELF)在位于华北、华南、东北、西北和西南的12个地震台站和几个流动观测点进行了连续30天新的观测试验.结果表明,利用CSELF技术可以在1700 km之外测量到人工源电磁场信号,计算得到的电、磁场功率谱密度和视电阻率与天然源信号相比,抗干扰能力更强,观测信号更稳定,特别有利于识别和捕捉地震等诱发的电磁异常现象,在地震预测监测中具有很大的研究应用潜力.试验还发现,各地震台站和流动测点观测的CSELF信号的强度,与台站或者测量的电、磁场分量相对于发射源的距离、方位有明显的关系;发现在离开发射源的相对近区,场强随距离的衰减,比在相对远区更快;发现接收磁场信号比电场信号较易获得更高信噪比的数据.  相似文献   

西南地区气候季节划分及特征分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

徐晓  肖天贵  麻素红 《高原山地气象研究》2010,30(1):35-40

本文运用聚类分析方法对西南地区进行分区讨论,研究了各区域的气候季节及其变化特征。我国西南地区5个区域夏季和秋季的分配基本一致,而冬春两季差异明显;而降水场和温度场四季划分也有一定相关和相异性,均按照云南区-川西高原区-贵州区-四川盆地区-川东区的顺序逐级递减。   相似文献   

Micro‐geomorphology determines community structure of biological soil crusts at small scales     

Xin‐Rong Li  Min‐Zhu He  Stefan Zerbe  Xiao‐Jun Li  Li‐Chao Liu 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2010,35(8):932-940

Biological soil crusts (BSCs) are ubiquitous communities of diminutive organisms such as cyanobacteria, green algae, lichens, mosses and others associated closely with particles of surface soil, forming a cohesive thin horizontal layer. The ecological roles of BSCs affecting soil nutrient cycling, stability and hydrological processes, influencing the germination and establishment of vascular plants, and serving as habitats for numerous arthropods and microorganism have been well documented. We tested the hypothesis that micro‐geomorphological features determine the spatial distribution of BSCs by reallocating related abiotic resources at small‐ and medium‐scales in the Tengger Desert. Our results showed that higher soil pH and higher total potassium content in topsoil positively correlated with the colonization of cyanobacteria and algae in the earliest successional stages of BSCs, while increasing dust deposition onto the topsoil enhanced the development of lichen and mosses in the later stages of BSCs. Increasing soil moisture raised the proportion of mosses and lichen in BSCs, this will possibly change the ecological functions of BSCs, such as nitrogen‐fixation by cyanobacteria, due to the conversion from a complex to relative simple type of BSC. Micro‐geomorphology has created various habitats at a small‐scale affecting colonization and development of cryptogams. This paper considers the contribution of micro‐geomorphology to biodiversity in the extreme arid desert systems. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

地下爆炸地震耦合效应的静态分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

朱号锋  靳平  肖卫国 《地震学报》2010,32(2):234-241

首先修正了地下爆炸地震耦合效应的准静态理论,然后利用改进之后的理论对剪切模量、材料强度、围压以及孔隙率不同的介质中地下爆炸的震源强度进行了分析.分析结果表明,对于密实硬岩介质来说,在其它条件不变的情况下,介质的剪切模量越大,震源强度越低;介质的强度越大,震源强度越低;震源强度随着埋深的增加而降低.而干燥多孔介质中的干孔隙率也对震源强度有重要影响.  相似文献   

气候变化与清代华北平原动乱事件关系分析          下载免费PDF全文

萧凌波  叶瑜  魏本勇 《气候变化研究进展》2011,7(4):253-258

以《清实录》为历史数据源,以事件频次（县次/年）为代用指标,重建清代（1644—1911年）华北平原动乱事件序列。结果表明：世纪/年代尺度上的冷期或降温阶段的动乱频次高于暖期或升温阶段;干旱事件对动乱的触发作用比洪涝明显,干旱指数与动乱频次显著正相关,19世纪3次大规模农民起义均发生在极端旱灾背景下。上述对应关系在不同时间尺度上的显著程度有所不同,较短时间尺度（年代/年）上的规律在清代早期不明显,从18世纪末开始,随着人-地矛盾的激化逐渐明显,其程度随时间推移而加强。  相似文献